There is a new model that has been released depicting what we may to look forward to this year regarding the coronavirus pandemic.
If those who came up with this model are right, then we have a bright future to look forward to.
Scientists at Singapore University of Technology and Design have created a new model based on the available data to try and predict what will happen with the coronavirus in the next few months.
This new model predicts that coronavirus will effectively be non-existent by November. Furthermore, they don't think that there will be a second wave of the virus as some "experts" have predicted.
According to the data, the US is on track to be coronavirus-free by November 11, while the UK could see an earlier end date of September 30. The model predicts the trajectory of the spread of the virus over time while tracking the actual number of new confirmed cases per day in a given country.
In the US, changes in predictions were tracked over a one-week period between May 6 and May 12, and found to be relatively stable, suggesting a ‘long time to reach its theoretical ending’.
‘The estimated curves of USA for a week together, showing a high stability, while one might still want additional policies or actions to further shorten the tails of the curves,’ the report states.
The study also found predictive monitoring in early May showed the US – and second worst-hit country Brazil – could ‘still suffer’ for the remainder of the year if current measures remain in place and without the development of a vaccine.
For Italy, which once led the world in confirmed coronavirus cases, the modeling showed it was predicted to recover by October 24, as of May 8.
More good news that goes along with this by implication is that if it is going to be gone by November 11th theoretically, then it should be very small in the months leading up to it.
We're already seeing low numbers again we've had three days in a row with American deaths under 1000 which is sad, but still great progress.
Sources:
Daily Mail
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